000
FZPN03 KNHC 150247
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 120.1W 966 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 15 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 
10N TO 21N BETWEEN 111W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 122.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S AND 60 NM N SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 
KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 115W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.8N 124.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 118W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 18.2N 126.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.5N 128.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.5N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 02.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 91W AND 106W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06.5N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 92W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 108W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06.5N TO 
12.5N BETWEEN 93W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 133W AND 137W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 15.5N W OF 128W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N135W 1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW 
AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N133W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLES S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W 
AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15.5N N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 
95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC SUN SEP 15...

.HURRICANE KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 22N TO 26N E OF 110W TO 
MEXICAN COAST.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N73W TO 11N81W TO 09N89W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
10N103W TO 15N111W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N122W TO 13.5N133W TO 
BEYOND 12.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06.5N TO 
14.5N E OF 112W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N W OF 118W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.