000
FZPN03 KNHC 142146
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.1N 119.3W 985 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 14 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...120 NM NW 
QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 111W AND 123W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.4N 122.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH WITHIN 
90 NM S AND 60 NM N SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 KT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 21.5N BETWEEN 
115W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 18.0N 123.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10.5N 
TO 22.5N BETWEEN 118W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.7N 126.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 19.3N 128.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO NEAR 20.0N 130.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 04.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 91W AND 106W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06.5N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 92W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 108W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06.5N TO 
12.5N BETWEEN 93W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.FROM 08N TO 17.5N W OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N135W 1010 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W 1010 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 126W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W 
AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 
95W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT SEP 14...

.HURRICANE KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM W QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 21N TO 27N E OF 
111W TO MEXICAN COAST.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N74W TO 10N104W TO 17N110W...RESUMES FROM 
13N122W TO 13.5N133W TO BEYOND 12.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG WITHIN 300 NM N AND WITHIN 210 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH 
AXIS E OF 110W...AND FROM 10N TO 14N W OF 118W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.