000
FZPN03 KNHC 122143
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU SEP 12 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.1N 112.2W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
12 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITHIN 150 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.6N 115.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM NE AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA FROM 11N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.6N 119.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 20.5N 
BETWEEN 114W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 18.5N 122.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 19.3N 125.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 20.0N 128.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 128W AND 132W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 15N BETWEEN 125W AND 139W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 134W AND 140W S WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE FROM 07N140W 
TO 13N130W TO 17N130W TO 15N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 132W AND 140W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.S OF LINE FROM 03S120W TO 00.5S115W TO 00.5S101W TO 03.4S94W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S BETWEEN 93W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. FROM 02.5N TO 05N BETWEEN 98W AND 
114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 83W AND 88W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED S SWELL AND SW WIND WAVES. 
FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 99W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 96W AND 105W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2045 UTC THU SEP 12...

.TROPICAL STORM KIKO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07.5N74.5W TO 09N88W TO 11.5N100W TO 
14N107W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13.5N113W TO 13.5N126W TO BEYOND 
10N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06.5N TO 
10N BETWEEN 77W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 07N 
TO 10N BETWEEN 91W AND 97W...FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 
107W...FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 128W...FROM 10N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 128W AND 134W...AND FROM 07N TO 09N W OF 138W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.