000
FZPN03 KNHC 220254
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU AUG 22 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 16.1N 111.3W 999 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 22 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. ELSEWHERE 120 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 330 NE QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 16.5N 113.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 50
NM NE...40 NM SE...30 NM SW...AND 60 NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 450 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 17.6N 114.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
270 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 540 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVO NEAR 18.8N 116.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FOR WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE...AND 70 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 600 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM
NW SEMICIRCLE...WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVO NEAR 20.0N 116.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 2O TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 540 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 21.5N 117.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 23.2N 118.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL IVO NEAR 26.4N 120.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 101W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 123W WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 107W AND 118W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST N 0F 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N S WIND 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC THU AUG 22...

.T.S. IVO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS
MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 101W AND 118W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 96W...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W AND 101W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N80W TO 13N95W TO 12N102W TO 16N106W...THEN
W OF T.S. IVO FROM 14N112W TO 16N126W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 06N BETWEEN 82W AND 90W AND FROM 
09N TO 15N BETWEEN 131W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.