000
FZPN03 KNHC 020900
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI AUG 02 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 04.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 16.8N 136.4W 993 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
02 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 300 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 127W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 17.9N 141.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 11N TO 24N BETWEEN 
136W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 19.0N 146.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER MOVE W 
OF FORECAST WATERS. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 
138W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 20.3N 151.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE NEAR 23.5N 155.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE NEAR 28.0N 
156.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N115W 1011 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N120W 1011 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N125W 1011 MB. WITHIN 300 NM 
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 103W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC FRI AUG 2...

.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM E AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 131W AND 137W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 115W FROM 04N TO 18N. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N79W TO 10N100W TO 10N121W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E 
OF 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM S OF 
THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 91W AND 109W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.