000
FZPN03 KNHC 011518
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU AUG 01 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 15.1N 131.6W 996 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
01 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...240 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NW AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 122W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 16.3N 136.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 135 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 11N TO 25N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 17.5N 142.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 25N 
AND E OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 18.0N 145.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 18.4N 147.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 19.5N 152.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 02N W BETWEEN 82W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN S SWELL. S OF 01S BETWEEN 95W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S AND W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01N AND W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU AUG 01...

.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 150 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 119W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 09N104W TO 13N114W TO 
12N124W...THEN RESUMES W OF FLOSSIE FROM 12N132W TO 11N138W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 04N E OF 90W. 

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.