000
FZPN03 KNHC 312133
HSFEP2


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED JUL 31 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 31.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 14.0N 127.3W 995 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 31 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE 
QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E AND 210 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 08.5N TO 20N BETWEEN 119W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 15.1N 132.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM S QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 26 FT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 150 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 22.5N BETWEEN 
124W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 16.3N 137.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 
120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 
NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 120 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 11N TO 24N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 16.8N 140.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 17.2N 143.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 18.0N 148.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED 
WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND 
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95W N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 14N TO 20N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 01S W OF 81.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE 
AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S W OF 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S W OF 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN FRESH SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC WED JUL 31...

.HURRICANE FLOSSIE...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO  
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 240 NM SE QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E AND 420 NM SW QUADRANTS.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06.5N 
TO 16N BETWEEN 105W AND 118W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N75W TO 08N94W TO 11N105W TO 13N119W...THEN 
RESUMES FROM 11N129W TO 09N132W TO 11N136W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG FROM 05N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 79W AND 101W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.