961 
FZPN03 KNHC 310240
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED JUL 31 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 31.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 12.8N 122.6W 990 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 31 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...45 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...210 NM SE...330 NM SW...AND 240 NM 
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 06N TO 17N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 14.0N 127.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 120W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 15.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
270 NM NE AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 23N 
BETWEEN 125W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 16.1N 135.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 16.7N 138.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 17.5N 143.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.HURRICANE ERICK W OF AREA NEAR 13.8N144.9W AT 0000 UTC. AREA W 
OF LINE FROM 20N140W TO 17N137W TO 10N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 19N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 1N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02.5S BETWEEN 94W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S BETWEEN 102W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 81.5W AND 90W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 00N TO 04N BETWEEN 81W AND 88.5W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC WED JUL 31...

HURRICANE FLOSSIE NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM AND 
60 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 150 NM SW QUADRANTS. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74W TO 06.5N79W TO 09.5N106W TO 
12N114W...THEN RESUMES FROM 11N124W TO 10.5N128W TO 14N138W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 91W AND 99W...FROM 06.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 102W AND 
110W...AND FROM 90 NM N AND 120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 124W AND 
137W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.