000
FZPN03 KNHC 302129
HSFEP2


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 31.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 01.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 12.3N 121.3W 995 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 30 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM NE...210 NM SE...330 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 
18N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 13.4N 125.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 19N 
BETWEEN 118W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 15.0N 130.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 150 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 150 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 124W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 16.3N 136.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 17.3N 142.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 18.1N 147.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.HURRICANE ERICK W OF AREA NEAR 13.6N144.1W AT 2100 UTC MOVING W AT 
13 KT. AREA W OF LINE FROM 21N140W TO 18N135W TO 08N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 20N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95W N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 
95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.12 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02.5S BETWEEN 94W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S BETWEEN 102W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND S SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 81.5W AND 90W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 00N TO 04N BETWEEN 81W AND 88.5W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC TUE JUL 30...

HURRICANE FLOSSIE NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 
210 NM SW QUADRANTS. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74W TO 06.5N79W TO 09.5N106W TO 
10.5N116W, THEN RESUMES FROM 11N124W TO 10.5N128W TO 13N136W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 77W AND 97W...AND FROM 07.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.