000
FZPN03 KNHC 301616
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 31.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG  1.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 12.2N 120.5W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
30 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE
QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 13N135W TO 06N140W TO 20N140W TO 18N135W TO 13N135W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 12.5N 122.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 13.1N 125.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N116W TO 07N122W TO 10N128W TO
14N128W TO 20N120W TO 13N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 14.6N 130.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM
E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 08N125W TO 10N133W TO 15N136W TO 25N129W
TO 20N121W TO 08N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 16.1N 136.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 17.3N 141.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 18.5N 147.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.HURRICANE ERICK W OF AREA NEAR 13N 142W. WITHIN 13N135W TO 
06N140W TO 20N140W TO 18N135W TO 13N135W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N138W TO 14N140W TO 21N140W TO 
19N139W TO 16N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO 
S SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 14.5N94.5W TO 14.5N95W TO 16N95.5W TO 16N94.5W TO
14.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N94W TO 13N95W TO 13N96W TO 16N95W TO
13N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.. N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE JUL 30...

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM
NW SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SEGMENTS OF THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N77W TO 12N112W TO 
11N112W...AND FROM 11N124W TO 12N136W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH 
AXIS E OF 85W...AND WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 
100W AND 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.