000 FZPN03 KNHC 291619 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 29. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 30. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 31. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 12.3N 136.9W 991 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 29 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 13.0N 139.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK W OF AREA NEAR 13.6N 141.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 135W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK W OF AREA NEAR 15.0N 146.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 14N TO 19N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 16.0N 150.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 16.8N 155.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 17.5N 159.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 12.5N 114.6W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 29 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 12.3N 119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 113W AND 120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 13.3N 124.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FORM 08N TO 18N BETWEEN 118W AND 126W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 14.7N 129.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 16.1N 135.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 17.5N 141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1200 UTC MON JUL 29... .T.S. ERICK...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OF THE CENTER...AND FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. .T.S. FLOSSIE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM IN SW SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 90 NM IN THE NE SEMICIRCLE. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH 07N78W TO 07N85W TO 10N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH EAST OF 95W. $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.