000
FZPN03 KNHC 282133
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN JUL 28 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 12.0N 131.3W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 
28 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 45 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...270 NM 
SE...75 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 17N BETWEEN 124W AND 
132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 12.8N 136.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 07N TO 17N BETWEEN 131W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 14.1N 142.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA FROM 10N TO 19.5N W OF 136W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 15.3N 146.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 16.2N 150.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 16.8N 155.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E NEAR 11.5N 109.1W 1007 MB AT 2100 
UTC JUL 28 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE...120 NM SE...0 NM SW...AND 
90 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 12.1N 115.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N TO 
15.5N BETWEEN 110W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 12.1N 120.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07.5N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 117W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 12.8N 125.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 14.0N 131.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 15.5N 136.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 13.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09.5N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC SUN JUL 28...

.TROPICAL STORM ERICK...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 45 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 07.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 
128W AND 134W.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED 
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED TO 
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 106W AND 113W...AND FROM 07N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 103W AND 
108W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 93W N OF 04N. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 99W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 118W FROM 05N TO 19N. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N74W TO 06N79W TO 08.5N104W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM 10N111W TO 11.5N124W. ITCZ IS W OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.