000
FZPN03 KNHC 281451
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN JUL 28 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 12.3N 129.8W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 
28 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 123W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.1N 134.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 07N TO 17N BETWEEN 129W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 14.3N 140.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09 TO 20N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 15.6N 145.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERICK NEAR 16.6N 149.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 17.1N 154.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E NEAR 11.2N 107.5W 1007 MB AT 1500 
UTC JUL 28 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 18 KT. WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N 
TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 12.1N 113.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 
13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 12N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 109W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVEN-E NEAR 12.0N 119.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 45 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 
NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 12.5N 124.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 13.5N 130.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVEN-E NEAR 15.0N 135.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 91W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 88W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1450 UTC SUN JUL 28...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W 
AND 111W.

.TROPICAL STORM ERICK...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 91W N OF 04N. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 117W FROM 05N TO 18N. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 115W AND 121W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 06.5N81W TO 11N103W. IT RESUMES 
FROM 12N112W TO 13N120W. ITCZ FROM 10N132W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 06N E OF 81W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.