000
FZPN03 KNHC 051547
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON NOV 05 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 07.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 18.5N 106.2W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 
05 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 18.9N 108.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 
107W AND 109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 18.8N 
111.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 18.5N 
113.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 25N BETWEEN 122W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N TO NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 07N104W 1010 MB. FROM 02N TO 05N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 01S BETWEEN 81W AND 86W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC MON NOV 5...

T.S. XAVIER...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT.

LOW PRES NEAR 14N118W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF LOW CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 08N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N94W TO 
LOW PRES NEAR 14N118W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N129W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
10N138W TO 09N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 13N E OF 99W.

$$
.FORECASTER NR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.