000
FZPN03 KNHC 050902
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON NOV 05 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON NOV 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 07.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 18.4N 105.9W 999 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 
05 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 18.9N 108.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 15 NM SW QUADRANT 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM N AND 60 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 19.2N 
110.6W. WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 19.0N 
112.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N118W 1009 MB. WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N118W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N137W 1011 MB. WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE 30N124W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N127W TO 23N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON NOV 5...

T.S. XAVIER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 08N97W. IT RESUMES NEAR 14N111W TO 
LOW PRES NEAR 14N118W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N137W TO 10N137W. ITCZ 
FROM 10N137W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 115W AND 121W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.