000
FZPN03 KNHC 050302
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON NOV 05 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 07.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 18.5N 105.7W 1001 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 
05 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 19.3N 107.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 19.8N 
109.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 60 NM 
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 19.7N 
112.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 19.5N 
113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N118W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N117W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N136W 1011 MB. WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE 30N125W TO 25N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N126W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC MON NOV 5...

T.S. XAVIER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 09N86W TO 08N97W. IT RESUMES NEAR 
14N111W TO LOW PRES NEAR 14N118W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N136W TO 
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 84W AND 
90W...AND FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.