000
FZPN03 KNHC 041548
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN NOV 4 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN NOV 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV  6.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 17.6N 105.3W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV
04 MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 18.5N 106.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 19.1N 
109.1W. WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 19.3N 
111.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 19.2N 
113.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N119W 1009 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 116W AND
120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N117W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN N SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN NOV 4...

T.S. XAVIER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 07N90W TO
11N98W...AND FROM 13N110W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N119W TO LOW PRES 
NEAR 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 89W AND 92W...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.