000
FZPN03 KNHC 040304
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN NOV 04 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN NOV 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 06.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 16.1N 105.7W 999 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 
04 MOVING NE OR 035 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 
104W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 17.4N 105.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 17.9N 107.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN 106W 
AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION XAVIER NEAR 18.1N 110.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 18.3N 
112.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 18.5N 
115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N119W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N117W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N117W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 128W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC SUN NOV 4...

.T.S. XAVIER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
14N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N86W TO 09N94W TO 13N101W. IT 
RESUMES FROM 13N110W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N119W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
10N134W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N 
TO 07N BETWEEN 81W AND 86W...AND FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W 
AND 125W.

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.