000
FZPN03 KNHC 031601
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT NOV 3 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT NOV 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN NOV  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV  5.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 15.3N 107.0W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV
03 MOVING ENE OR 060 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND
90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE
AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 16.6N 106.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150
NM NE AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 17.4N 106.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION XAVIER NEAR 17.5N 108.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 17.5N 
111.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 18.0N 
113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 12N96W N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N119W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N116W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM NW
AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N115W 1010 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 28N TO 30N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 132W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT NOV 3...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 07N90W TO
14N104W...FROM 13N110W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N119W TO LOW PRES NEAR
10N134W TO 08N136W. ITCZ FROM 08N136W TO BEYOND 07N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 120W 
AND 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.