000
FZPN03 KNHC 030901
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT NOV 03 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN NOV 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON NOV 05.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 14.7N 107.7W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 
03 MOVING ENE OR 070 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM SE 
AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 09N TO 18N BETWEEN 105W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 16.0N 106.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 
111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 17.1N 106.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 
13N TO 20N BETWEEN 103W AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION XAVIER NEAR 17.5N 107.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 17.6N 
110.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 18.0N 
112.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N119W 1009 MB. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 
120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N118.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 
NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N118W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... 
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N123W TO 25N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SAT NOV 3...

T.S. XAVIER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
10N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N92W TO 14N103W. IT RESUMES NEAR 
13N114W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N119W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N134W TO 
08N136W. ITCZ FROM 08N136W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 94W AND 103W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 126W.

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.