000
FZPN03 KNHC 030309
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT NOV 03 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT NOV 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN NOV 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 05.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 14.5N 108.2W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 
03 MOVING ENE OR 075 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 09N TO 18N BETWEEN 105W AND 
113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 15.6N 106.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 90 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 
150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 17.1N 106.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM S AND 180 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM XAVIER NEAR 17.8N 107.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION XAVIER NEAR 17.5N 109.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW XAVIER NEAR 18.0N 
111.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N118W 1009 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N116.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
SE AND 30 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N114.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 210 NM 
SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... 
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC SAT NOV 3...

T.S. XAVIER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
10N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO 12N93W TO 14N105W. IT RESUMES AT 
14N112W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N118W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N132W TO 
07N135W. ITCZ FROM 07N135W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 94W AND 103W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 130W. 

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.