000
FZPN03 KNHC 221549
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC MON OCT 22 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE WILLA NEAR 19.1N 107.2W 925 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 22 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT 
GUSTS 170 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 300 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE WILLA NEAR 21.4N 106.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 KT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 540 NM SE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 25N...WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS 
IN BANDS WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILLA INLAND NEAR 25.4N 
102.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. FROM 15N TO 
22N E OF 108W TO THE MEXICAN COAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM VICENTE NEAR 14.9N 100.8W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC 
OCT 22 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM NE AND 15 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION VICENTE NEAR 17.4N 103.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS IN BANDS WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL VICENTE INLAND NEAR 20.3N 104.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED 
WITH WILL...OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
  
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.    

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES 11.5N116.5W 1008 MB MOVING NE 4 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW 
WINDWAVES AND SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N116W 1007 MB. WITHIN 330 NM 
SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW 
WINDWAVES AND SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N117W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM E 
QUADRANT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.  

.FROM 03.5N TO 07N BETWEEN 81W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW WINDWAVES AND SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 03N TO 06N BETWEEN 94W AND 104W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW WINDWAVES AND SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN 91W AND 100W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW WINDWAVES AND SWELL.

.S OF LINE FROM 03.4S92W TO 04N107W TO 06N120W TO 00N127W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S95W TO 01N110W TO 
02.5S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.AREA W OF LINE FROM 12N140W TO 12N132W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST AREA W OF LINE FROM 12N140W TO 11N135W TO 
17N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON OCT 22...

.HURRICANE WILLA...INTERMITTENT STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N AND 90 
NM S OF CENTER SURROUNDED BY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN 
BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM SE 
QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL STORM VICENTE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES.

.LOW PRES 11.5N116.5W...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 210 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE.   

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09.5N75W TO 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 07N89W 
TO 11N94W...WHERE IT BREAKS...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N111W TO LOW 
PRES 11.5N116.5W TO 09N125W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ 
CONTINUING ON TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 150 NM N AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 78W AND 97W. 
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N AND 180 
NM S OF TROUGH AND ITCZ TO THE W OF 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.