000
FZPN03 KNHC 220900
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC MON OCT 22 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE WILLA NEAR 18.2N 107.1W 931 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 22 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT 
GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW AND 70 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM 
SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 
240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 
FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE WILLA NEAR 20.4N 107.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 
180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 
NM SE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF CALIFORNIA S OF 25N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS IN BANDS WITHIN 300 NM 
OF CENTER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM WILLA INLAND NEAR 23.8N 104.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT NEAR CENTER. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER FROM 18.5N 
TO 23N E OF 109W WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF 
LINE FROM 15N103W TO 26N115W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 
25.5N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED 
SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS IN BANDS WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL WILLA NEAR 27.0N 99.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM VICENTE NEAR 14.1N 99.7W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
22 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM E AND 40 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 15 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VICENTE NEAR 16.1N 102.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 20 NM E AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLES. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED 
TSTMS IN BANDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL VICENTE INLAND NEAR 19.5N 104.4W.
OVER WATER CONDITIONS MERGE. 72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
   
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.    

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95.5W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES 11N117W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 12N118.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 12N119W 1011 MB. WITHIN 150 NM E 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.  

.WITHIN 120 NM OF 05N83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW 
SWELL.  
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF LINE FROM 03.4S100W TO 01N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S94W TO 00N117W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 20N140W TO 15N135W TO 12N140W TO 20N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON OCT 22...

.HURRICANE WILLA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER 
SURROUNDED BY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN BANDS ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM VICENTE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN A BAND 
WITHIN 180 NM OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 05N ALONG 90W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 07N90.5W. 

.LOW PRES 11N117W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 210 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE.   

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO 12N95W THEN RESUMES FROM 13N112W TO 
LOW PRES 11N117W TO 09N128W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 05N78W TO 09N87W AND 
WITHIN 150 NM OF 09N94W AND 11N110W AND 07N132W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.