000
FZPN03 KNHC 162147
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 16 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TARA NEAR 19.0N 105.0W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC 
OCT 16 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 
NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TARA NEAR 19.5N 
105.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 45 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TARA NEAR 19.7N 
106.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.062 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 24.5N NW TO N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.S OF LINE FROM 03.4S99W TO 01.5N112W TO 00N120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 103W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N138.5W TO 27N140W. N OF 28.5N E OF FRONT TO 
136W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. NW OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N137.5W TO 25N140W. NW 
OF LINE FROM 30N134W TO 23N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 23.5N W OF 135W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. FROM 08.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 93W AND 
115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N94.5W TO 
14N95W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 87W AND 98W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 07N TO 
13N BETWEEN 100W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
1006 MB NEAR 13N92.5W. WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N94.5W 
TO 13.5N95.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 
88W AND 97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC TUE OCT 16...

.TROPICAL STORM TARA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 18N TO 
22N WITHIN 75 NM OF MEXICAN COAST.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES 1007 MB NEAR 16N89.5W 
TO 08.5N122W TO 11N129W TO BEYOND 08.4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO STRONG FROM 03.5N TO 12N E OF 89W...AND FROM 10N TO 14.5N 
BETWEEN 89W AND 115W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.