000
FZPN03 KNHC 161547
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 16 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM TARA NEAR 18.6N 104.5W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
16 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 
08N TO 16N BETWEEN 97W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TARA NEAR 19.2N 105.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 
07N TO 13N BETWEEN 101W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TARA NEAR 19.7N 
106.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 30 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.S OF LINE FROM 03.4S102W TO 02N110W TO 02.5N123W TO 
00N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 106W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N139W TO 28N140W. N OF 28N E OF FRONT S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. NW OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N138W TO 26.5N140W. N 
OF 29N E OF FRONT TO 136W SE TO S WINDS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26.5N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N139W TO 
27N139W TO 25N140W. N OF LINE FROM 15N132W TO 19N140W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. FROM 08.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 97W AND 
116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N94.5W TO 
13.5N94.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 89W AND 108W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRES 1006 MB NEAR 12.5N 92.5W. N OF 
14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 90 NM 
N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 08N BETWEEN 88W AND 96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE OCT 16...

.TROPICAL STORM TARA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE 
TO STRONG FROM 17.5N TO 21.5N WITHIN 75 NM OF MEXICAN COAST.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 19N87W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 
16N88.5W TO 09.5N120W TO 10.5N136W TO BEYOND 08N140W. NUMEROUS 
MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 80W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF LINE FROM 07N82W TO 11N92W AND 
WITHIN 180 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS W OF 95W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.