000
FZPN03 KNHC 090311
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE OCT 9 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 9.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 16.0N 128.6W 978 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 09
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
120 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE
QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 360 NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF
AREA W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 17.2N 126.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 420 NM N AND 330 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 450 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 19.7N 122.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...100 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
150 NM SE QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 110W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 24.0N 116.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO INLAND NEAR 29.3N 
109.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 35.4N 
99.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 06N TO 13N W OF 90W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 03N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 110W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC TUE OCT 9...

HURRICANE SERGIO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH MONSOON FROM 16N93W TO 09N110W...AND FROM 11N130W
TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE MONSOON 
TROUGH E OF 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.