144 FZPN03 KNHC 022143 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 02. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 03. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 04. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 11.2N 115.1W 965 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 02 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE...330 NM SE...240 NM SW...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 05N TO 19N BETWEEN 106W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 13.1N 117.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 48 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 05N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 15.2N 120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM NE AND 240 N SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE...360 NM SE...180 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 27N BETWEEN 105W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 16.3N 123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 16.5N 126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 16.5N 128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ROSA NEAR 30.5N 114.0W 1008 MB MOVING NE AT 8 KT. GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST...LOW TO MOVE NE AND DISSIPATE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N94.5W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 83W AND 92W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC TUE OCT 2... HURRICANE SERGIO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 120 NM S OF CENTER. BANDS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ALSO FROM 150 NM TO 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 12N76W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N87.5W TO 12.5N102W. THE MONSOON TROUGH THEN RESUMES FROM 13.5N120W TO 14N127W TO 12N136W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 77W AND 98W...AND FROM 08N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 98W AND 105W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 123W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.