781 
FZPN03 KNHC 102119
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON SEP 10 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 12.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 21.3N 121.2W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
10 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 19N TO 23.5N BETWEEN 
116W AND 122.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL NEAR 22.2N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE 24N130W TO 21N125W TO 25N123W TO 
28N126W TO 28N132W TO 24N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL NEAR 22.9N 127.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 90 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
22N TO 27N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAUL NEAR 23.5N 
129.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW PAUL NEAR 23.5N 129.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW PAUL POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 
NEAR 23.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. N OF 21N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND S SWELL.
.24 HOURS FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 120 AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. FROM 24N TO 27N W OF 
135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 120 AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.

.FROM 06N TO 08.5N BETWEEN 97W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W...AND 
FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEN 110W AND 115W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 11N BETWEEN 90W AND 120W...EXCEPT IN THE 
LEE OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...AND S OF A LINE FROM 11N120W TO 
04N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S100W TO 01S110W TO 01S120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 90W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 00N TO 02N BETWEEN 119W 
AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON SEP 10...

.TROPICAL STORM PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE BETWEEN 60 NM AND 210 
NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 05N ALONG 94W...SCATTERED MODERATE ON EITHER 
SIDE OF THE WAVE FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 05N ALONG 105W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
08N TO 11N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG NEAR THE NORTHERN END OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 16.5N TO 
18.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W.

.LOW PRES OF 1009 MB ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 09N104W...
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 
100W AND 104W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM NEAR 10N85W TO 11N95W TO A 
1009 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 09N104W TO 08N11W...THEN RESUMES FROM 
13N120W TO 09N130W TO 09N138W. OUTSIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED 
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 
07N TO 09N BETWEEN 84W AND 86W...FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 108W 
AND 112...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.