421 FZPN03 KNHC 101523 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC MON SEP 10 2018 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 10. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 11. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 12. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 20.8N 120.7W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 10 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 21.9N 123.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM W SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 20N TO 24.5N BETWEEN 121W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL NEAR 22.7N 126.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAUL NEAR 23.5N 129.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW PAUL NEAR 23.5N 129.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW PAUL NEAR 23.5N 129.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W...AND FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 100W AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 120W...AND S OF 04N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .S OF 02S BETWEEN 106W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 90W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON SEP 10... .TROPICAL STORM PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. .TROPICAL WAVE N OF 05N ALONG 92W/93W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W. .TROPICAL WAVE N OF 05N ALONG 104W WITH A 1009 MB LOW PRES NEAR 09N104W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 108W AND 111W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM NEAR 10N85W TO 12N94W TO 11N93W 10 A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 09N104W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N120W TO 09N137W. OUTSIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 79W AND 81W. $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.