569 FZPN03 KNHC 090912 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC SUN SEP 9 2018 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 9. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 10. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 11. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 17.1N 117.5W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 09 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...75 NM NW QUADRANT AND 330 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 16N105W TO 10N106W TO 08N123W TO 13N120W TO 19N124W TO 19N108W TO 16N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 19.4N 119.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19N109W TO 15N110W TO 11N117W TO 20N122W TO 22N117W TO 19N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 21.4N 122.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 24N119W TO 22N118W TO 19N121W TO 19N124W TO 23N127W TO 27N123W TO 24N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 22.6N 126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 22.6N 126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL NEAR 22.6N 126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. . FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .HURRICANE OLIVIA W OF AREA NEAR 21.8N 142.5W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 09 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS W OF AREA WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N137W TO 23N135W TO 18N139W TO 19N140W TO 25N138W TO 30N140W TO 30N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLIVIA W OF AREA NEAR 21.8N 146.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N122W TO 27N126W TO 27N127W TO 29N128W TO 30N129W TO 30N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N120W TO 28N122W TO 25N128W TO 24N132W TO 26N133W TO 30N128W TO 30N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N120W TO 22N128W TO 24N136W TO 28N136W TO 30N130W TO 30N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL. .WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N91W TO 05N90W TO 03N92W TO 03N101W TO 05N104W TO 10N97W TO 09N91W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N95W TO 06N99W TO 06N101W TO 07N101W TO 09N99W TO 09N95W TO 08N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED. .18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S120W TO 02S115W TO 03.4S110W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 01S120W TO 03.4S108W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 01N101W TO 03.4S87W TO 03.4S120W TO 01N121W TO 06N111W TO 09N96W TO 01N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC SUN SEP 9... .HURRICANE OLIVIA...ASSOCIATED CONVECTION W OF AREA. .TROPICAL STORM PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 150 NM AND 300 NM IN THE NW SEMICIRCLE AND ALSO FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 121W AND 129W. .SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S AND SW OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM NEAR 10N75W TO 09N90W TO 09N105W TO 07N111W THEN RESUMES FROM 16N131W TO 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 86W AND 91W AND FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W...FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W AND ALSO WITHIN 150 NM SE OF AXIS W OF 131W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.