010 
FZPN03 KNHC 050902
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC WED SEP 5 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE OLIVIA NEAR 16.9N 121.2W 965 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 05 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 114W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLIVIA NEAR 17.8N 125.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 
117W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLIVIA NEAR 19.6N 130.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 210 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 14N TO 26N BETWEEN 122W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLIVIA NEAR 21.3N 136.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 21.3N 136.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 21.3N 136.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.HURRICANE NORMAN W OF AREA. FROM 20N TO 24N W OF 139W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 101W AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S W OF 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S90W TO 08N109W TO 04N125W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 128W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED SEP 5...

.HURRICANE OLIVIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 06N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 09N93W TO 11N100W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
11N105W TO 08N112W...RESUMES FROM 13N123W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 126W AND 134W.
  
$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.