450 
FZPN03 KNHC 011616
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 01 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE NORMAN NEAR 16.2N 123.7W 970 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 01 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. REMAINDER OF 
THE AREA FROM 07N TO 25N BETWEEN 115W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORMAN NEAR 16.9N 128.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 19 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
BOUNDED BY 21N118W TO 14N116W TO 05N130W TO 27N135W TO 21N118W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORMAN NEAR 18.7N 134.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. WITHIN 180 
NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO33 KT.. SEAS 12 TO 20 
FT. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE FROM 27N130W TO 16N121W TO 07N131W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORMAN NEAR 20.3N 140.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORMAN NEAR 21.3N 145.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORMAN NEAR 22.0N 148.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 14.9N 110.0W 1007 MB AT 
1500 UTC SEP 01 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S SEMICIRCLE WITHIN 180 NM WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 15.7N 111.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 108W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 16.4N 113.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 16.4N 116.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 16.8N 120.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 18.0N 125.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.HURRICANE MIRIAM W OF AREA. FROM 21N TO 23N W OF 139W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE FROM 
29N140W TO 25N135W TO 20N135W TO 18N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM W OF AREA. N OF 23N W OF 
136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 119W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1545 UTC SAT SEP 01...

.HURRICANE NORMAN...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 121W AND 126W.  

.T.D. SEVENTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG W 
QUADRANT WITHIN 180 NM. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 07N101W TO 19N100W...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N77W TO 10N97W TO 13N105W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM 12N127W TO 11N133W TO 12N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 07N77W TO 14N95W 
AND FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 127W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.