886 
FZPN03 KNHC 150914
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED AUG 15 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR 10.8N 122.3W 1007 MB AT 
0900 UTC AUG 15 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 60 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E AND 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOURTEEN-E NEAR 10.6N 126.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOURTEEN-E NEAR 11.1N 130.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 120 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOURTEEN-E NEAR 12.3N 135.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOURTEEN-E NEAR 12.3N 135.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOURTEEN-E NEAR 12.3N 135.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W...AND S OF 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 
124W...EXCEPT IN LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 07N BETWEEN 79W AND 90W...AND S OF 17.5N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 118W...EXCEPT IN LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS... 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 02N TO 05N BETWEEN 81W AND 87W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 
90W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 17N134.5W 1011 MB. FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 131W 
AND 136W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW TO DISSIPATE. TROUGH ALONG 138W FROM 12N 
TO 18.5N. FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS TO SHIFT W OF 140W. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 
95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0800 UTC WED AUG 15...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR 10.8N122.3W...SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG IN BANDS WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 90 NM SE 
QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 180 
TO 360 NM SW QUADRANT.

LOW PRES NEAR 17N134.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 60 TO 150 NM NW QUADRANT.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF MEXICAN COAST FROM 
18N103.5W TO TO 26.5N110W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09.5N73.5W TO 10N97W TO 
08.5N110W TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR 10.8N122.3W. 
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH E OF 103W TO COASTAL 
COLOMBIA AND PANAMA...AND WITHIN 90 NM N AND 150 NM S OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 106W AND 116W.

$$

.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.