189 
FZPN03 KNHC 052236 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC SUN AUG 05 2018

CORRECTED CONVECTION SECTION FOR T.S. ILEANA

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HECTOR NEAR 14.4N 138.0W 952 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 05 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
W OF LINE FROM 22N140W TO 17N132W TO 06N137W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HECTOR W OF AREA NEAR 15.3N 141.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 15N TO 18N W OF 139W WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF LINE FROM 
21N140W TO 17N136W TO 13N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HECTOR W OF AREA NEAR 16.4N 148.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HECTOR NEAR 16.7N 154.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HECTOR NEAR 17.0N 160.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HECTOR NEAR 17.7N 166.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E NEAR 14.6N 105.8W 1006 MB AT 2100 
UTC AUG 05 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS TO 11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 15.2N 106.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 
NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 16.0N 107.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
240 NM SE AND 900 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWELVE-E NEAR 20.5N 112.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E AND 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 102W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWELVE-E NEAR 20.5N 112.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWELVE-E NEAR 23.2N 117.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 25.5N 121.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM ILEANA NEAR 13.6N 98.1W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
05 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 3 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM E AND WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ILEANA NEAR 16.2N 102.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ILEANA NEAR 19.2N 106.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINING CONDITIONS MERGED WITH HURRICANE TWELVE-E.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N121W 1007 MB. WITHIN 340 NM E AND 210 NM S 
QUADRANTS OF LOW S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 113W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE 
FORMATION.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N122.5W 1006 MB. WITHIN 150 NM EXCEPT W QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 117W 
AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N125W 1005 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE AND WITHIN 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
11N TO 20N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.S OF 02S AND W OF 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S AND W OF 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S AND W OF 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 
14N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2145 UTC SUN AUG 05...

.HURRICANE HECTOR...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM SE AND WITHIN 45 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM ILEANA...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM W AND WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM W QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND 110W. 

.LOW PRES 12N121W...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N117W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 114W AND 125W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N79W TO 09N88W TO 12N92W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM 15N111W TO LOW PRES 1007 MB NEAR 12N121W TO 14N128W. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.