000
FZPN03 KNHC 012155
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC SUN JUL 01 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 12.4N 108.4W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 01 MOVING 
WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM 
NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 
NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE...120 NM 
SE...90 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 99W AND 109W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST
HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 12.9N 110.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 150 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 13.5N 112.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240
NM NE...270 NM SE...150 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO
36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 330 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 18N BETWEEN 
104W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 15.2N 116.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 140 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420
NM NE...330 NM SE...270 NM SW...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO
50 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 330 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 21.5N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 17.2N 122.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE 
FABIO NEAR 20.0N 127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 23.0N 131.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED 
WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA NEAR 19.7N 124.0W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 01 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 
35 KT. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 90 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SEAS TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL 
REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 21.2N 127.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT 
GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 KT 
WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL 
REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 22.5N 133.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT 
GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
9 FT IN MIXED N AND NE SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
 
.12 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 96W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN
97W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED S SWELL. .48
HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 81W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED S AND SW SWELL. S OF 02S BETWEEN 103W AND 
120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 132W AND 139W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N131W TO 27N140W NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N W OF 128W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED N AND NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N130W TO 26N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH REMNANTS OF EMILIA... 
ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 30N124W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN JUL 01...

.TROPICAL STORM FABIO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM NE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN BANDS FROM 90 TO 
450 NM NE...FROM 180 TO 360 NM SE...WITHIN 300 NM SW..AND WITHIN 210
N NW QUADRANTS. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N74W TO 08.5N96W TO 12N100W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N116W 
TO 13.5N120W TO 10.5N133W. ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 10.5N133W TO BEYOND 
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 78W AND
86W...N OF 10N BETWEEN 87W AND 95W...FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 93W AND
99W...AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 136W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.