000
FZPN03 KNHC 161506
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC SAT JUN 16 2018

CORRECTED MONSOON TROUGH

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 15.9N 99.3W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC 
JUN 16 STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA INLAND NEAR 17.0N 
99.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE.
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CARLOTTA NEAR 17.6N 99.6W.
OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF LINE 08N121W TO 03.4S94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE 03N120W TO 03.4S100W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 120W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT JUN 16...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 96W AND 102W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N90W TO 12N95W. IT RESUMES FROM 
12N102W TO 11N106W TO 11N112W TO 09N119W. ITCZ FROM 09N119W TO 
07N126W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N 
TO 07N E OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 
13N BETWEEN 85W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 129W AND 138W.  

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.