000
FZPN03 KNHC 161535
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE NORMA NEAR 19.3N 110.1W 985 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 16 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM NE 
QUADRANT...165 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 105 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 
104W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORMA NEAR 20.8N 110.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 165 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 24N BETWEEN 
103W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORMA NEAR 22.6N 111.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
WITHIN 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 105 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 
26N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORMA NEAR 23.5N 112.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORMA NEAR 24.0N 113.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NORMA NEAR 24.5N 
112.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.8N 126.5W 1005 MB AT 1500 
UTC SEP 16 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.3N 
127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 121W AND 130W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 17.6N 
127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.2N 
127.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 17.8N 
129.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 
16.7N 132.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC SAT SEP 16...

.HURRICANE NORMA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM FROM STORM CENTER.
  
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 11N97W...RESUMING FROM 13N129W TO 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 360 NM S OF 
MONSOON TROUGH E OF 98W AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF IT W OF 
130W.

$$

.FORECASTER NR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.