000
FZPN03 KNHC 130903
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED SEP 13 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.9N 119.4W 1004 MB AT 0900 
UTC SEP 13 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT NEAR THE CENTER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM N AND 
30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER EPAC WATERS WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.     
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.9N 119.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT WITHIN 40 NM N OF 
CENTER.
SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. REMAINDER EPAC WATERS WITHIN 
150 NM SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.     
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.1N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT WITHIN 40 NM N OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 45 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. REMAINDER EPAC 
WATERS WITHIN 240 OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.     
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 124.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.2N 125.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.2N 125.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 126.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 15N103W 1008 MB AND LOW PRES 15N111W 1006 MB. WITHIN 
75 NM OF LINE FROM 14N102W TO 12N111W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 01N80W TO 17N101W TO 
17N110W TO 08N119W TO 03.4S112W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS 
ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW 
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
16N103W 1006 MB AND LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR 
16N111W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 16N101W TO 11N111W 
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 
03.4S82W TO 17N100W TO 19N104W TO 17N115W TO 03.4S113W...EXCEPT 
LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... INLAND 
NEAR 19N103W 1006 MB AND LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE 
NEAR 17N111W 1003 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 17N108W TO 
12N110W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 
LINE FROM 03.4S90W TO 17N100W TO 21N108W TO 15N116W TO 
03.4S113W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... NEAR 
18N109W 1001 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
AREA BOUNDED BY 22N109W TO 13N100W TO 11N118W TO 22N110W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. S OF LINE 
FROM 03.4S90W TO 03N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED SEP 13...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.LOW PRES 15N103W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
270 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.

.LOW PRES 15N111W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
60 NM OF LINE FROM 14N110W TO 17N114W.     

.LOW PRES 11N135W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 13N90W TO LOW PRES 15N103W TO LOW 
PRES 15N111W TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E AT 14.9N119.4 TO 
11N126W TO LOW PRES 11N135W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG N OF 06N E OF 81W AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF 
LINE FROM 13N105W TO 08N131W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.