000
FZPN03 KNHC 121543
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 14.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.6N 116.2W 1004 MB AT 1500 
UTC SEP 12 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.9N 119.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 
12 FT WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 
90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.1N 
121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 270 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT...HIGHEST SE 
QUADRANT.   
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.6N 
122.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.7N 
123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 15N BETWEEN 89.5N AND 
119W...AND S OF 07.5N BETWEEN 80W AND 88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15.5N102W 1004 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 
124W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA S OF 18N BETWEEN 95W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
10 FT IN SW SWELL. S OF 03.5N BETWEEN 81W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
17N102W 1000 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
11 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 121W S 
TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 
08N TO 20N BETWEEN 98W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 
FT IN S TO SW SWELL. S OF 06N BETWEEN 82W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
  
.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95.5W TO 14N96.5W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT. FROM 13N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 96.5W AND 101W E TO SE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 270 NM SW QUADRANTS.  

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N75W TO 09N79W TO 14N91.5W TO TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION 15-E AT 15.6N116.2W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N134W 1010 
MB TO BEYOND 10.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03N TO 
08N E OF 81W TO COAST OF COLOMBIA...AND WITHIN 270 NM S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 92W AND 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.