000
FZPN03 KNHC 120900
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 14.

.WARNINGS.
.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.8N 115.1W 1006 MB AT 0900 
UTC SEP 12 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 13 KT. WITHIN 210 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 
10 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.1N 
118.8W. WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
WITH GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.    .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.3N 121.6W. WITHIN 180 NM N QUADRANT 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.9N 
123.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.9N
125.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 101W AND 113W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF LINE FROM 07N80W TO 16N102W 
TO 10N117W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
NEAR 14N104W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 14N101W TO 
08N114W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE BOUNDED 
BY 03.4S82W TO 02S92W TO 16N95W TO 15N109W TO 09N118W TO 
03.4S110W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... NEAR 
15N104W 1005 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 15N101W TO 09N114W S 
TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE BOUNDED BY 
03.4S92W TO 17N101W TO 10N120W TO 03.4S110W TO 03.4S92W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... NEAR 
16N105W 1008. WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 18N103W TO 12N111W S TO 
SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE BOUNDED BY 
03.4S90W TO 17N99W TO 20N105W TO 10N124W TO 03.4S112W TO 
03.4S90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW 
SWELL.
  
.WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.  
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE SEP 12...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT.  

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 13N87W TO 14N95W TO 13N110W TO TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION 15-E TO 13N121W TO LOW PRES 12N135W TO 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG E OF 81W AND WITHIN 240 NM OF 
LINE FROM 12N90W TO 13N102W TO 10N130W. 

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.