000
FZPN03 KNHC 210916
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON AUG 21 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 17.4N 130.0W 952 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 21 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 19.7N 132.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 23.1N 134.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 26.6N 135.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL KENNETH NEAR 29.0N 136.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KENNETH NEAR 30.5N 
137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... 
N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 127W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON AUG 21...

.HURRICANE KENNETH...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM 
OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 14N 
TO 19N BETWEEN 127W AND 132W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 91W N OF 10N...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM W AND 30 NM E OF WAVE AXIS. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N111W TO 07N122W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 119W AND 122W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.