000
FZPN03 KNHC 210253
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON AUG 21 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 16.8N 129.1W 964 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 21 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 18.7N 131.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 22.1N 133.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.   
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 25.5N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL KENNETH NEAR 28.5N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KENNETH NEAR 30.0N 
136.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 127W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 25N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0245 UTC MON AUG 21...

.HURRICANE KENNETH...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 60 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 126W AND 130W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 90W N OF 10N...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE AXIS. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 11N90W TO 09N98W TO 10N105W TO 
09N113W TO 07N118W TO 08N120W. IT RESUMES FROM 13N131W TO 
12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF 
THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 
111W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N 
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 116W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
60 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH W OF 132W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.