000
FZPN03 KNHC 190231
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 15.0N 119.1W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC 
AUG 19 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE 
QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
15 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM 
NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 16.0N 124.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 17.7N 128.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 19.6N 131.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 22.3N 133.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 25.2N 133.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 
14.5N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 
15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SAT AUG 19...

.TROPICAL STORM KENNETH...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM SW 
AND 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLES OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 115W AND 
124W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 99W N OF 07N...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 92W AND 101W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 112W FROM 08N TO 22N...SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 112W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N91W TO 08N100W TO 10N110W WHERE 
IT LOSES IDENTITY. IT RESUMES AT 13N121W AND EXTENDS TO 12N124W 
TO 13N130W TO 12N136W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 
NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH W OF 130W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.