000 FZPN03 KNHC 232111 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 23. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 24. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 25. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 13.2N 102.9W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 23 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 99W AND 105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 97W AND 104W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 14.3N 105.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 101W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 15.8N 108.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 104W AND 100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.0N 112.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.0N 116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.0N 120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.9N 116.6W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 23 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.7N 118.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.5N 119.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.0N 122.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 13.5N 123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.0N 123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM GREG NEAR 14.4N 130.1W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 23 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 124W AND 132W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 23N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GREG NEAR 14.8N 133.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 22N W OF 132W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF LINE FROM 25N140W TO 18N129W TO 10N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GREG NEAR 15.9N 136.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY NE SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GREG NEAR 17.1N 139.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GREG NEAR 17.1N 142.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GREG NEAR 16.3N 145.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2000 UTC SUN JUL 23... .TROPICAL STORM HILARY...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12.5N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W. .TROPICAL STORM GREG...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ANALYZED E OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY FROM 09N84W TO 11N98W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 11N132W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N E OF 88W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 96W AND 99W. $$ .FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.