000 FZPN03 KNHC 171019 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC MON JUL 17 2017 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 17. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 18. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 19. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.4N 130.1W 960 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 17 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 23N140W TO 23N122W TO 05N122W TO 05N140W TO 23N140W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.0N 132.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 24N140W TO 24N126W TO 06N126W TO 06N140W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 16.7N 135.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N120W TO 14N112W TO 09N112W TO 09N120W TO 14N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.6N 138.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.9N 141.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 18.2N 145.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 13N115W 1008 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N116W TO 15N113W TO 11N113W TO 11N116W TO 15N116W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 13N117W 1008 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N118W TO 15N114W TO 10N114W TO 10N118W TO 15N118W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 13N118W 1008 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N120W TO 14N112W TO 09N112W TO 09N120W TO 14N120W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 01N120W TO 01N82W TO 03.4S82W TO 03.4S120W TO 01N120W TO 01N120W...INCLUDING LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06N140W TO 06N81W TO 03.4S81W TO 03.4S140W TO 06N140W TO 06N140W...INCLUDING LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N140W TO 09N79W TO 03.4S79W TO 03.4S140W TO 09N140W TO 09N140W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA AND THE GULF OF GUAYAQUIL AND LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N105W 1008 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N130W TO 30N122W TO 28N122W TO 28N130W TO 30N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 15N107W 1008 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N140W TO 30N121W TO 24N121W TO 24N140W TO 30N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 16.5N110W 1008 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N140W TO 30N121W TO 24N121W TO 24N140W TO 30N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. .36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 18N111W TO 18N106W TO 14N106W TO 14N111W TO 18N111W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19N114W TO 19N107W TO 13N107W TO 13N114W TO 19N114W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON JUL 17... .HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMCIRCLE. .TROPICAL WAVE FROM 11N105W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 14N105W 1008 MB TO 10N105W, MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W. .TROPICAL WAVE FROM 22N115W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 13N115W 1009 MB, MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM FROM 10N85W TO 08N95W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 14N105W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 13N115W TO 12N120W, WHERE IT BREAKS TO THE E OF HURRICANE FERNANDA...THEN RESUMES FROM 11N133W TO BEYOND 10N140W. OTHER THAN CONVECTION ALREADY MENTIONED NEAR FERNANDA AND THE TROPICAL WAVES, NO SIGNFICANT CONVECTION IS OBSERVED. $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.