000
FZPN03 KNHC 170250
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON JUL 17 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.0N 129.2W 960 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 17 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...240 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM NE...210 NM SE...120 NM SW...AND 270 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 06.5N TO 20N BETWEEN 122W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 14.6N 132.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA FROM 05N TO 23N BETWEEN 126W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 16.3N 134.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 
NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM NW AND 150 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA BETWEEN 05N AND 28N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.3N 137.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.8N 140.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 18.3N 144.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N103.5W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N106.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N110W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N115.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N117W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N118.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.  

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 85W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST AREA S OF LINE FROM 01.5S82W TO 02.5N94.5W TO 
04.5N118W TO 00N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST AREA S OF LINE FROM 03.4S81.5W TO 05N82W TO 
07.5N97W TO 06N112W TO 02N130W TO 00N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST AREA N OF 28.5N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST AREA N OF LINE FROM 30N121.5W TO 28N124W TO 
27N132W TO 30N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW TO N 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE WITH FERNANDA...AREA 
FROM 25.5N TO 30N BETWEEN 122W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0145 UTC MON JUL 17...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N103.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
08N TO 15N BETWEEN 101W AND 106W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N115.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
09N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 114.5W AND 118W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N75W TO 07.5N94W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
14N103.5W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N115.5W TO 11N120W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM 10N131W TO 08N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 77W AND 
98W...AND BETWEEN 107W AND 112W...AND FROM 06.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 
130W AND 140W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.