000
FZPN03 KNHC 162129
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN JUL 16 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 12.7N 128.4W 957 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...150 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS 
AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 00N120W TO 09N128W TO 00N133W TO 
12N136W TO 20N131W TO 16N119W TO 00N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 14.2N 131.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 270 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA FROM 06N TO 22N BETWEEN 125W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.9N 134.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 
NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 210 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA BETWEEN 04.5N AND 29N BETWEEN 128W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.0N 136.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.5N 140.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 18.0N 144.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N103.5W 1011 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N106W 1010 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N109W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N115W 1011 MB. WITHIN 150 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N116.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 150 
NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N118.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.  

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03.4S96W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N134W TO 
03N134W TO 03N121W TO 00N117W TO 03.4S96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03.4S82W TO 03.4S120W 
TO 00N134W TO 06N126W TO 00N95W TO 03.4S82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03.4S81W TO 03.4S120W 
TO 00N132W TO 04N125W TO 07N106W TO 06N93W TO 03.4S81W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 29N122W TO 29N125W TO
29N128W TO 30N128W TO 30N121W TO 29N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 25N124W TO 21N130W TO 
30N135W TO 30N120W TO 25N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN JUL 16...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N103W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
08.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N115W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
09N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N75W TO 08N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
14N103.5W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N115W TO 11N120W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM 11N130W TO 08N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 05.5N 
TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 98W...AND FROM 120 NM N TO 180 NM S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 106W AND 112W AND BETWEEN 130W AND 139W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.