000
FZPN03 KNHC 150958
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT JUL 15 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 10.8N 121.8W 948 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 15
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 17N126W
TO 17N117W TO 05N117W TO 05N126W TO 17N126W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.8N 125.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 20N133W TO
20N119W TO 03N119W TO 03N133W TO 20N133W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.5N 131.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY BY 22N140W TO 22N123W TO 06N123W TO 06N140W TO 
22N140W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.0N 135.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 16.5N 138.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.0N 140.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N99W TO 16N97W TO 14N97W TO 14N99W TO
16N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03N127W TO 03N104W TO
03.4S104W TO 03.4S127W TO 03N127W TO 03N127W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 04N129W TO 04N93W TO 
03.4S93W TO 03.4S129W TO 04N129W TO 04N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SAT JUL 15...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM FROM 
10N86W TO 12N108W. ITCZ FROM 09N130W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 85W AND 90W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.