000
FZPN03 KNHC 150256
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT JUL 15 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 10.7N 120.8W 947 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 15 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT 
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM 
NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 210 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.6N 124.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 360 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 12.8N 129.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 
210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 450 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 14.5N 133.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 16.0N 137.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.0N 140.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 02N TO 09N BETWEEN 105W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SOUTHERLY SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 01N TO 09N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SOUTHERLY SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC SAT JUL 15...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
W AND 45 NM E SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74W TO 08N79W TO 10N97W TO 
10.5N113W...WHERE IT BREAKS FROM FERNANDA...THEN RESUMES FROM 
10N124W TO 09.5N132W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING 
ON TO BEYOND 08.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
FROM 03.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 91W...FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 
93W AND 103W...AND FROM 06.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 116W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.