000
FZPN03 KNHC 141520
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI JUL 14 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 10.9N 118.9W 969 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 14 
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 105 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.3N 122.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 
210 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 12.5N 127.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 
135 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 270 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.8N 131.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.0N 135.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 16.3N 138.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI JUL 14...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 
90 NM NW AND 135 NM SE SEMICIRCLES.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE MEXICAN 
COAST BETWEEN 93W AND 102W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 11N93W TO 10N112W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM 10N123W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION N OF 06N E OF 85W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.